Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Bruce Oakley's avatar

I'm a regular listener, and was excited to see you were a guest! I also enjoyed the cameo from cuckoo.

Expand full comment
Jeff's avatar

Some perspective on Real Clear Politics polling aggregate: https://x.com/matthewjdowd/status/1849538661039136856

Some Hopium: There are factors in this presidential election that have not happened before (Dobbs, Jan. 6th) and so aren't part of polling models, which are based on past elections. And gaming the polling aggregators (by flooding the zone with shit) has become part of GOP campaign/fundraising strategy. The good polls have been very stable since Biden dropped out and Harris shot up, with her in the lead nationally and in enough swing states to win. Also, remember 20% of GOP primary voters rejected MAGA. It's likely a majority will vote the same way in the general.

The glass is half full 🤞

Expand full comment
2 more comments...

No posts