Some Hopium: There are factors in this presidential election that have not happened before (Dobbs, Jan. 6th) and so aren't part of polling models, which are based on past elections. And gaming the polling aggregators (by flooding the zone with shit) has become part of GOP campaign/fundraising strategy. The good polls have been very stable since Biden dropped out and Harris shot up, with her in the lead nationally and in enough swing states to win. Also, remember 20% of GOP primary voters rejected MAGA. It's likely a majority will vote the same way in the general.
This granular interactive map shows how people in your neighborhood voted for president in 2016/2020: https://explore.votehub.com/ Usefull for canvassing 😉
Some perspective on Real Clear Politics polling aggregate: https://x.com/matthewjdowd/status/1849538661039136856
Some Hopium: There are factors in this presidential election that have not happened before (Dobbs, Jan. 6th) and so aren't part of polling models, which are based on past elections. And gaming the polling aggregators (by flooding the zone with shit) has become part of GOP campaign/fundraising strategy. The good polls have been very stable since Biden dropped out and Harris shot up, with her in the lead nationally and in enough swing states to win. Also, remember 20% of GOP primary voters rejected MAGA. It's likely a majority will vote the same way in the general.
The glass is half full 🤞
This granular interactive map shows how people in your neighborhood voted for president in 2016/2020: https://explore.votehub.com/ Usefull for canvassing 😉
I'm a regular listener, and was excited to see you were a guest! I also enjoyed the cameo from cuckoo.
AWW thank you for listening and sharing your excitement 🤗